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The Evolution of Business Growth: From Slow Expansion to Blitzscaling

By Sami Yaghma, Updated: Oct 9, 2024

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Before the rise of venture capital, businesses followed a straightforward path: grow steadily and, most importantly, grow profitably. This traditional approach to business expansion focused on achieving sustainable growth, where each step forward was measured carefully, ensuring that profitability kept pace with growth. Companies took their time, refining their products, building customer bases slowly, and expanding only as much as their profits allowed. This method was the norm for decades, creating stable companies that grew at a measured pace, but rarely at breakneck speeds.

However, the business world was about to experience a seismic shift, driven largely by the innovations and ambitions emerging from Silicon Valley.

The Paradigm Shift: The Birth of High-Growth Companies in Silicon Valley

The late 20th century witnessed a transformation in how companies viewed growth, spurred by technological advancements and the rise of the internet. Silicon Valley became the epicenter of this shift, where the old rules of business were thrown out in favor of new, aggressive growth strategies. Companies like Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon were among the first to break away from the traditional mold. They demonstrated that rapid, exponential growth was not only possible but could lead to market dominance on a global scale.

The key to this transformation was a new business philosophy that prioritized speed over profitability. Instead of focusing on making money in the short term, these companies aimed to capture market share as quickly as possible. This approach was a radical departure from the past, where slow, steady growth was the gold standard.

The New Venture Capital Playbook: Capturing Market Share Over Profits

As Silicon Valley’s success stories began to pile up, venture capitalists quickly adapted their playbook. The goal was no longer just to build profitable companies; it was to build massively valuable companies that could dominate entire markets. This shift in strategy was encapsulated by Reid Hoffman, co-founder of LinkedIn, who coined the term Blitzscaling to describe this approach.

What is Blitzscaling?

Blitzscaling, as defined by Hoffman, is the science and art of rapidly building out a company to serve a large, usually global, market with the goal of becoming the first mover at scale. This approach is not without its risks. It requires a company to accept significant operating inefficiencies and often leads to massive financial losses in the short term. However, the potential payoff is market dominance, which can be worth tens or even hundreds of billions of dollars in the future.

The term Blitzscaling draws a parallel with the military tactic of blitzkrieg, where speed and surprise are used to overwhelm opponents. In business, this means moving faster than competitors, even if it means taking on massive risks and operating at a loss. The payoff comes from the potential to dominate a market and create massively valuable companies.

Blitzscaling in Action: The Case of Uber

One of the most prominent examples of Blitzscaling is Uber. The ride-hailing giant deliberately operated at a loss for years, subsidizing rides to attract users and gain market share. Uber’s strategy was simple: get as many people as possible using their service, even if it meant losing money on each ride. The idea was that by capturing a significant share of the market early on, Uber could eventually achieve profitability as it scaled up and optimized its operations.

This strategy worked, at least in terms of growth. Uber became a global giant, operating in hundreds of cities around the world and transforming the way people think about transportation. However, the company’s low margin business model and the fierce competition it faced meant that achieving profitability has been a long and challenging road.

Slowly overtime, however, Uber has gradually increased the price of their service, while decreasing the cut paid to drivers. These incremental changes increase the contribution margin, which is the incremental money generated for each ride after deducting the variable portion of the firm’s costs.

Bar chart showing Uber's revenues and net losses from 2016 to 2023.
Uber’s profitability from 2016 to 2023, showing revenues and net losses.

Blitzscaling Case Study: Netflix’s Streaming Wars

Another prime example of Blitzscaling is Netflix. The streaming service deliberately operated at a loss for years as it invested heavily in content and international expansion. Netflix’s goal was to become the dominant player in the streaming market, even if it meant burning through billions of dollars in the process.

This strategy paid off in the long run. Netflix now has over 270 million subscribers worldwide and is one of the most recognized brands in the entertainment industry. However, it took years for the company to achieve profitability. For instance, Disney’s streaming unit (including Hulu, ESPN+, and Disney Plus), which followed a similar strategy, only recently turned profitable after several years of running at a loss. These examples illustrate the significant operating inefficiencies and financial risks involved in Blitzscaling, but also the potential rewards.

Both of these services have the power to leverage the consumer’s unwillingness to change for a dollar increase on their price. If Netflix increases their monthly subscription across the board for their customers by one dollar, they most likely wouldn’t blink. But for Netflix, that’s an additional $270M in free cash flow without any additional expenses. Of course, you’ll lose some customers for it, but for most, they won’t feel like it’s that impactful.

Blitzscaling in a Different Industry: Amazon’s Incredible Growth

While Uber and Netflix are often cited as classic examples of Blitzscaling, Amazon’s growth story is equally instructive. From its early days as an online bookstore, Amazon has consistently prioritized growth over profitability. Jeff Bezos, Amazon’s founder, famously reinvested profits back into the company to fuel expansion into new markets and product lines. This strategy allowed Amazon to achieve massive scale and dominate multiple industries, from e-commerce to cloud computing.

Amazon’s incredible growth is a testament to the power of Blitzscaling. By constantly pushing for more growth and reinvesting in its business, Amazon has become one of the most valuable companies in the world, with a market capitalization of over $1.75 trillion.

Is Blitzscaling Here to Stay?

While Blitzscaling has been instrumental in the rise of some of the world’s most successful companies, it is not a one-size-fits-all strategy. For some businesses, particularly those in industries where intelligent risks are paramount, growing too quickly can be disastrous. Take, for example, Waymo, the autonomous driving company. In this case, one high-profile accident could destroy the company’s reputation and set back the entire industry. For companies like Waymo, prioritizing speed over safety is not an option.

Furthermore, Blitzscaling is not always sustainable. As companies grow, the inefficiencies that were acceptable in the early stages can become significant liabilities. Managing dizzying growth requires a shift in focus from speed to operational scalability, ensuring that the business can handle its growing size without collapsing under its own weight.

The Future of Blitzscaling: A Strategy for Some, Not All

Blitzscaling has undoubtedly changed the way Silicon Valley and the broader business world think about growth. It has proven that in certain industries, prioritizing speed and gaining market share quickly can lead to market dominance and massive rewards. However, it’s also clear that this strategy is not suitable for every business. When too many participants attempt to blitzscale in a market, it can lead to a race to the bottom in pricing. This often results in significant losses of venture capital, as companies focus on capturing market share only to end up operating in an industry with low barriers to entry, and thus razor-thin margins.

The key to successful Blitzscaling is understanding when and how to apply it. For companies operating in fast-paced, network-driven industries, the lightning-fast path to scale can be the difference between becoming a global giant and being left in the dust by competitors. But for others, particularly those in industries where safety, reliability, or technological refinement are crucial, a slower, more measured approach may be necessary.

Final Thoughts: Blitzscaling vs. Traditional Growth Strategies

Blitzscaling represents a fundamental shift from the traditional practices of the past, where slow and steady growth was the norm. In today’s global business environment, where venture capitalists are willing to invest billions in companies that prioritize speed over efficiency, it’s clear that losing money in the short term is not necessarily a bad thing if it leads to market capitalization and dominance in the long run.

The examples of Uber, Netflix, and Amazon demonstrate that while Blitzscaling is a high-risk, high-reward strategy, it can lead to the creation of massively valuable companies that reshape entire industries. However, it’s crucial for business leaders to recognize that Blitzscaling is not a guaranteed path to success and that in some cases, a slower, more deliberate approach may be the better option.

Author

Sami Yaghma

Sami Yaghma

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